COLLECTIVE REVERSAL / FIVE MINUTE MARKETS

The markets, right now.

Public market observations and separately retained research.

Connecting to the paper runner…Frozen policy — · —

PAPER RESEARCHChecking recorded evidence

CURRENT MARKETS 8 ASSETS

0 / 8

Connecting to public order books

WINDOW REMAINING 5 MIN

—

Current contract window

LATEST QUOTE RECEIPT

Connecting…

Public Polymarket quotes · no execution

All eight markets Up / Down contract prices

BTC · Up / Down

Five-minute contracts

Up askUp bid

Observed quote history only

Outcome	Bid	Ask	Spread	Freshness	Source time / receipt

Top-of-book observations · fees and size-dependent slippage excluded

COLLECTIVE CONFIRMATION

Awaiting measurements—

Candidate excluded · fresh peers only

PEER MOMENTUM 5s / σ

—

Recorded leave-one-out factor

WINDOW REMAINING 5 MIN

—

Admission 90–180 seconds

PRIMARY EXPOSURE 500 MS

—

Collective portfolio · shadows separate

Market radar 8 assets · one decision cutoff

Awaiting live receipt

BTC / USD

Chainlink via authenticated PolyBolt

—Opening reference —

No display history yet. Native indicator history remains in the runner.

Display samples observed receipts. Gaps stay gaps.

LOCAL INDICATORS · SAME DECISION CUTOFF

30s extension—

5s reversal—

Trade flow—

Extreme stability—

Position PAPER

Decision stream

Every decision has a receipt.

Recent committed receipts from the observed journal segment. The canonical journal records every 100ms candidate and rejection.

Asset Show —

LEARNING LAB

Evidence before confidence.

Frozen champion. Future challengers. Actual Qanat lineage.

Awaiting qualification

Collective vs. local alone

PRIMARY · 500 MS

Shakedown and diagnostic shadows stay outside experiment results. Settlements remain separate from scalp exits.

Qualification gates

PENDING

A full uninterrupted hour and independent replay are required.

Research pipeline

No current evaluation

01CaptureSource + receipt times

→

02PaperFees, depth, delays

→

03QanatPoint-in-time + lineage

→

04ChallengeRegistered future cohort

No automatic promotion or profitability conclusion. Canonical costs are never repriced.

What the data is teaching us

Measurements, not tuning

Source health

OBSERVED

Unknown values stay unknown. Freshness and sequence checks gate admissions.

Authority & frozen method

Manual and automatic execution require separately authorized backend order handling.

Timing & storage

Provisional until qualification

Decision wall p99 / ≤10ms—

Decision CPU p99—

UI render p95—

Display polling / history1s / bounded